Comparing the AP Rankings to the NCAA Tournament Championship Odds 2025

Submitted by C Costigan on

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C Costigan

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Some people want to do away with preseason polls.

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What is the real point of ranking teams before seeing them play?

In our opinion, it’s a much bigger advantage to be ranked pre-season in College Football than College Basketball.

Nonetheless, BetOnline.ag has put together a table comparing the AP rankings to the NCAA Tournament Championship odds for both men and women.

Men’s Notes:

- No. 19 Kansas has the biggest jump as they are tied for 11th in the odds rankings.

- No. 6 Duke is third in tourney odds.

- Three unranked teams have Top 25 Tourney odds rankings: Auburn, Indiana and Iowa.

Men’s NCAA Tournament odds are updated every day of the season 

Team

AP Ranking

Odds Rank

NCAA Tourney Odds

Purdue

1

1

7/1

Houston

2

2

10/1

Florida

3

T-4

14/1

Uconn

4

T-4

14/1

St. John's

5

T-7

18/1

Duke

6

3

12/1

Michigan

7

6

16/1

BYU

8

9

20/1

Kentucky

9

T-7

18/1

Texas Tech

10

10

22/1

Louisville

11

T-11

25/1

UCLA

12

14

28/1

Arizona

13

T-17

40/1

Arkansas

14

T-11

25/1

Alabama

15

15

33/1

Iowa State

16

22

45/1

Illinois

17

16

35/1

Tennessee

18

T-17

40/1

Kansas

19

T-11

25/1

Auburn

20

T-17

40/1

Gonzaga

21

T-17

40/1

Michigan State

22

T-23

50/1

Creighton

23

T-23

50/1

Wisconsin

24

T-25

66/1

North Carolina

25

T-17

40/1

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Auburn

N/A

T-17

40/1

Indiana

N/A

T-25

66/1

Iowa

N/A

T-25

66/1

Women’s Notes:

- No. 18 USC is tied for fifth in the odds>

- No. 15 Notre Dame is seventh in the odds.

- Indiana and Ohio State, both unranked, are tied for 16th best odds to win the tournament.

Women’s NCAA Tournament odds are updated every day of the season here: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/ncaaw-futures/championship

Team

AP Ranking

Odds Rank

NCAA Tourney Odds

UConn

1

1

2/1

South Carolina

2

2

11/5 (+220)

UCLA

3

3

5/1

Texas 

4

4

12/1

LSU

5

T-5

14/1

Oklahoma

6

T-8

33/1

Duke

7

T-8

33/1

Tennessee

8

T-8

33/1

NC State

9

T-13

100/1

Maryland

10

T-13

100/1

North Carolina

11

T-13

100/1

Ole Miss

12

12

75/1

Michigan 

13

T-16

125/1

Iowa State

14

T-22

175/1

Notre Dame

15

7

18/1

Baylor

16

T-25

250/1

TCU

17

11

35/1

USC

18

T-5

14/1

Vanderbilt

19

T-22

175/1

Louisville

20

T-25

250/1

Iowa

21

T-16

125/1

Oklahoma State

22

T-16

125/1

Michigan State

23

T-25

250/1

Richmond

24

T-25

66/1

Kentucky

25

T-13

100/1

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Indiana

N/A

T-16

125/1

Ohio State

N/A

T-16

125/1

Kansas State

N/A

T-22

175/1

Alabama

N/A

T-25

250/1

California

N/A

T-25

250/1

Georgia Tech

N/A

T-25

250/1

Nebraska

N/A

T-25

250/1

Oregon

N/A

T-25

250/1

SMU

N/A

T-25

250/1

Stanford

N/A

T-25

250/1

Utah

N/A

T-25

250/1

Villanova

N/A

T-25

250/1

Washington

N/A

T-25

250/1

West Virginia

N/A

T-25

250/1