Astros-Royals Free Pick – April 14: Go With the Over

Submitted by Dan Shapiro on

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Dan Shapiro

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Gambling911.com has your Astros-Royals free pick for tonight and it is on the OVER 8.5. 

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PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals RH Ian Kennedy (1-0, 0.00) vs. Astros RH Doug Fister (1-0, 5.40)

Kennedy has been superior versus the Astros in two starts, allowing just one run and striking out 10 in 12 2/3 frames.

That being said, Kennedy also had a 4.00 ERA last season. 

The Astros have enjoyed solid success against right-handed pitchers as well. 

Fister, meanwhile, owns a 3-6 career record versus the Royals with a 3.73 ERA.

Game One of this series did go OVER the current total with ten runs scored.  Fister is viewed as the weakest link on Houston’s squad. 

KC has scored 4 or more runs in five of the last eight games overall.   Houston has scored 5 or more runs in five of their last nine overall. 

The OVER is 12-3-1 in Royals last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 and 5-1 in the Astros last 6 games following a loss.

The OVER is 8-3 in Houston’s last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com